David Cameron is likely to go ahead with a £5.2bn order for two new aircraft carriers, in spite of defence chiefs recommending that one should be scrapped.
The prime minister is expected to spare the second 65,000-tonne carrier, according to senior Whitehall figures, because to cancel the contract would cost more than to build both during the next four years.
Such a decision runs counter to Ministry of Defence proposals put to the National Security Council on Thursday, which endorsed maintaining an operational carrier but concluded that the military requirement was satisfied by a single vessel.
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