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Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Chances of attack on Gabala radar station 'not very high'

[Pavel Podvig]What kind of changes could happen in the Russian strategic forces if Vladimir Putin is elected president?

I don't think there will be major changes - Putin was clearly involved in drawing up the current strategic modernization program, so it will remain the same - the goal is to have eight new Project 955 Borey submarines, deploy RS-24 Yars missiles, and develop a new liquid-fuel silo-based ICBM.

Do you expect any progress in the US-Russian disarmament process in the near future?

I don't expect any progress in this area. Both sides are quite happy with the New START treaty in that it does not constrain them significantly. The next round of negotiations would have to include non-strategic nuclear weapons and the positions on that issue are very far apart, so it's hard to expect any progress there.

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